Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.476135 0.544369 0.617991 0.703214 0.799029 0.903300 1.025244
2025-05-11 0.368665 0.460728 0.568133 0.702203 0.864552 1.054233 1.292045
2025-05-18 0.290806 0.394974 0.525634 0.700390 0.926670 1.208295 1.583665
2025-05-25 0.234675 0.344717 0.492405 0.702917 0.992640 1.374318 1.911513
2025-06-01 0.193750 0.306348 0.467308 0.710603 1.064576 1.555405 2.280624
2025-06-08 0.158524 0.268968 0.436605 0.704372 1.114618 1.710958 2.632051
2025-06-15 0.136076 0.246441 0.423439 0.720703 1.197831 1.921192 3.083215
2025-06-22 0.113236 0.218664 0.397088 0.711649 1.239573 2.072603 3.461321
2025-06-29 0.098058 0.201002 0.384101 0.721587 1.311400 2.276243 3.938953
2025-07-06 0.081723 0.177919 0.357752 0.704195 1.334323 2.402110 4.302537
2025-07-13 0.073723 0.169294 0.355964 0.729724 1.433461 2.662715 4.911734
2025-07-20 0.067092 0.162121 0.355623 0.757419 1.538853 2.942927 5.578303
2025-07-27 0.059094 0.150641 0.345324 0.765101 1.609174 3.170245 6.177528
2025-08-03 0.051544 0.138624 0.331988 0.764744 1.663849 3.374231 6.753438
2025-08-10 0.045022 0.127651 0.319065 0.763260 1.715773 3.577487 7.345609
2025-08-17 0.039754 0.118637 0.308987 0.766305 1.776890 3.803362 7.999337
2025-08-24 0.035542 0.111437 0.301888 0.774824 1.850108 4.058987 8.731318
2025-08-31 0.031056 0.102474 0.289038 0.768212 1.889607 4.250002 9.351095
2025-09-07 0.028375 0.098035 0.286680 0.785974 1.984724 4.562689 10.239901
2025-09-14 0.024788 0.090050 0.273825 0.776231 2.015983 4.743891 10.872794
2025-09-21 0.022488 0.085520 0.269412 0.787025 2.096085 5.035974 11.759793
2025-09-28 0.019403 0.077657 0.254416 0.768221 2.103160 5.168826 12.317449
2025-10-05 0.018213 0.075950 0.256736 0.795871 2.226830 5.571320 13.489699